OSTRAKON Map About

Forecasts are real for Victoria, NSW, the ACT and the federal election.More

MPs, voting records, bills, funding, dates and party positions are real. State and territory seats show Ostrakon’s real election forecasts: Victoria (published 2 November 2026), NSW and the ACT (3 November 2026; the ACT has no polls yet, so it starts from the 2024 result). The federal forecast models all 150 seats; the map shows the 87 in these three places. News stories are real headlines linked from the publishers’ own feeds. Sources, licences and privacy. The federal and ACT maps use older boundaries.

Find out what’s happening where you live

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Colour = who Ostrakon expects to win. Paler = closer race (safe → toss-up). Pinch, scroll or use + and − to zoom; drag to move.

About the boundaries

Official Australian Bureau of Statistics boundaries (ASGS Edition 3, 2025 release, CC BY 4.0), simplified for the map but matched at full detail for suburbs and postcodes. Federal seats use the boundaries from the 2025 election (NSW has 46 seats, Victoria 38, the ACT 3). State and territory seats use the boundaries in force now: NSW from the 2023 election, Victoria from the 2022 election and the ACT from the 2024 election. Suburbs and postcodes that straddle a boundary list every seat holding at least 15% of them.

About Ostrakon

Politics, without the spin.

Ostrakon is an independent, open platform for understanding elections and the people elected to them. It brings together forecasts, members’ records, party positions and campaign funding, each traced to its public source.

Our mission

To give every voter a clear, verifiable view of how politics works, free of editorial agenda.

Why “Ostrakon”?

In ancient Athens, citizens could vote to banish a politician who had grown too powerful. Each voter scratched a name onto a broken piece of pottery, an ostrakon. It is where the word “ostracism” comes from, and one of the oldest examples of ordinary people holding power to account.

Our logo is the urn Athenians dropped their votes into, cracked open. The crack is a tick, the mark you make on a ballot: the vote is what breaks a closed system open, and what fixes it. Its colours are those of Athenian pottery, black glaze and terracotta clay.

01

Independent

We take no side. Every party is assessed by the same published standards.

02

Verifiable

Every figure links back to a public source. What we cannot source, we do not publish.

03

Evidence over rhetoric

We give more weight to what representatives do than to what they say.

04

Accountable

Our forecasts are published openly and kept on the record, so they can be checked against what happens.

Where we are now

Ostrakon is growing, starting with Victoria, New South Wales and the ACT. Forecasts for upcoming elections are published in advance and tested against past results. Over time, we aim to bring the same approach to more places.

Explore the map →Parties & issues Who funds them Sources & licences Contact

Contact

Spotted a mistake, or a fact that needs a better source? Email contact@ostrakon.online. We check every report against the source, fix what is wrong, and keep the correction on the record. Journalists and researchers are welcome to ask how a number was worked out.

Sources and licences

Every figure on Ostrakon comes from a public source, and pages link to the one they use. The main ones:

Wikipedia: opinion polls, member lists, candidate lists, past election results and seat histories, each linked from where it is used. Wikipedia’s text and data are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0; the tables Ostrakon builds from them are shared under the same licence.
Australian Bureau of Statistics: electoral boundaries, suburbs and postcodes (Australian Statistical Geography Standard). © Commonwealth of Australia, licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.
Australian Electoral Commission: party and campaign-group funding disclosures (Transparency Register) and federal results, used under the AEC’s copyright terms.
State and territory electoral commissions (Victorian Electoral Commission, NSW Electoral Commission, Elections ACT): election results and candidate lists, mostly as summarised on Wikipedia.
Parliaments: voting records and bills from the Parliament of Australia, NSW Parliament (Hansard), the Parliament of Victoria (Hansard), the ACT Legislation Register and legislation.vic.gov.au, linked from each MP’s record.
They Vote For You (OpenAustralia Foundation): federal voting records, used under its terms.
Fonts: Archivo, via Google Fonts, under the SIL Open Font Licence.

Terms

Forecasts are estimates based on published polls and past results. They are not certainties, and nothing on Ostrakon is betting, financial or voting advice.
Ostrakon is independent. It is not affiliated with, funded by or endorsed by any party, candidate, government or electoral commission.
We work to keep every fact accurate and sourced, and we correct mistakes when we find them. Each forecast version stays on the record so it can be checked against the result.

Privacy

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